DINA_HO_RT

library(hmcdm)

Load the spatial rotation data

N = length(Test_versions)
J = nrow(Q_matrix)
K = ncol(Q_matrix)
L = nrow(Test_order)

(1) Simulate responses and response times based on the HMDCM model with response times (no covariance between speed and learning ability)

class_0 <- sample(1:2^K, N, replace = L)
Alphas_0 <- matrix(0,N,K)
for(i in 1:N){
  Alphas_0[i,] <- inv_bijectionvector(K,(class_0[i]-1))
}
thetas_true = rnorm(N,0,1)
tausd_true=0.5
taus_true = rnorm(N,0,tausd_true)
G_version = 3
phi_true = 0.8
lambdas_true <- c(-2, 1.6, .4, .055)       # empirical from Wang 2017
Alphas <- sim_alphas(model="HO_sep", 
                    lambdas=lambdas_true, 
                    thetas=thetas_true, 
                    Q_matrix=Q_matrix, 
                    Design_array=Design_array)
table(rowSums(Alphas[,,5]) - rowSums(Alphas[,,1])) # used to see how much transition has taken place
#> 
#>   0   1   2   3   4 
#>  66  61  90 109  24
itempars_true <- matrix(runif(J*2,.1,.2), ncol=2)
RT_itempars_true <- matrix(NA, nrow=J, ncol=2)
RT_itempars_true[,2] <- rnorm(J,3.45,.5)
RT_itempars_true[,1] <- runif(J,1.5,2)

Y_sim <- sim_hmcdm(model="DINA",Alphas,Q_matrix,Design_array,
                   itempars=itempars_true)
L_sim <- sim_RT(Alphas,Q_matrix,Design_array,RT_itempars_true,taus_true,phi_true,G_version)

(2) Run the MCMC to sample parameters from the posterior distribution

output_HMDCM_RT_sep = hmcdm(Y_sim,Q_matrix,"DINA_HO_RT_sep",Design_array,
                            100, 30,
                            Latency_array = L_sim, G_version = G_version,
                            theta_propose = 2,deltas_propose = c(.45,.35,.25,.06))
#> 0
output_HMDCM_RT_sep
#> 
#> Model: DINA_HO_RT_sep 
#> 
#> Sample Size: 350
#> Number of Items: 
#> Number of Time Points: 
#> 
#> Chain Length: 100, burn-in: 50
summary(output_HMDCM_RT_sep)
#> 
#> Model: DINA_HO_RT_sep 
#> 
#> Item Parameters:
#>  ss_EAP gs_EAP
#>  0.1614 0.1158
#>  0.1843 0.1256
#>  0.1452 0.1195
#>  0.2737 0.1281
#>  0.1365 0.1642
#>    ... 45 more items
#> 
#> Transition Parameters:
#>    lambdas_EAP
#> λ0     -2.0889
#> λ1      2.0281
#> λ2      0.1259
#> λ3      0.1362
#> 
#> Class Probabilities:
#>      pis_EAP
#> 0000  0.0703
#> 0001  0.1915
#> 0010  0.2407
#> 0011  0.2437
#> 0100  0.1699
#>    ... 11 more classes
#> 
#> Deviance Information Criterion (DIC): 151167.1 
#> 
#> Posterior Predictive P-value (PPP):
#> M1: 0.5112
#> M2:  0.49
#> total scores:  0.6246
a <- summary(output_HMDCM_RT_sep)
head(a$ss_EAP)
#>           [,1]
#> [1,] 0.1613919
#> [2,] 0.1842738
#> [3,] 0.1452064
#> [4,] 0.2737322
#> [5,] 0.1365084
#> [6,] 0.1070063

(3) Check for parameter estimation accuracy

(cor_thetas <- cor(thetas_true,a$thetas_EAP))
#>           [,1]
#> [1,] 0.7915111
(cor_taus <- cor(taus_true,a$response_times_coefficients$taus_EAP))
#>           [,1]
#> [1,] 0.9837953

(cor_ss <- cor(as.vector(itempars_true[,1]),a$ss_EAP))
#>           [,1]
#> [1,] 0.6877214
(cor_gs <- cor(as.vector(itempars_true[,2]),a$gs_EAP))
#>           [,1]
#> [1,] 0.6683424

AAR_vec <- numeric(L)
for(t in 1:L){
  AAR_vec[t] <- mean(Alphas[,,t]==a$Alphas_est[,,t])
}
AAR_vec
#> [1] 0.9085714 0.9100000 0.9371429 0.9500000 0.9450000

PAR_vec <- numeric(L)
for(t in 1:L){
  PAR_vec[t] <- mean(rowSums((Alphas[,,t]-a$Alphas_est[,,t])^2)==0)
}
PAR_vec
#> [1] 0.6828571 0.6714286 0.7742857 0.8171429 0.8114286

(4) Evaluate the fit of the model to the observed response and response times data (here, Y_sim and R_sim)

a$DIC
#>              Transition Response_Time Response    Joint    Total
#> D_bar          2186.045      129604.8 15328.63 3057.580 150177.1
#> D(theta_bar)   1911.580      129167.8 15124.48 2983.214 149187.1
#> DIC            2460.510      130041.8 15532.79 3131.947 151167.1
head(a$PPP_total_scores)
#>      [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.84 0.68 0.60 0.54 0.78
#> [2,] 0.68 0.62 0.10 0.72 0.48
#> [3,] 0.32 0.40 1.00 1.00 0.88
#> [4,] 0.30 0.68 0.34 0.62 1.00
#> [5,] 0.74 0.66 0.94 0.72 1.00
#> [6,] 0.56 0.70 0.74 0.46 0.84
head(a$PPP_item_means)
#> [1] 0.46 0.54 0.42 0.48 0.42 0.54
head(a$PPP_item_ORs)
#>      [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11] [,12] [,13] [,14]
#> [1,]   NA 0.74 0.78 0.82 0.82 0.70 0.80 0.86 0.76  0.72  1.00  0.58  0.80  0.52
#> [2,]   NA   NA 0.88 0.74 0.78 0.74 0.72 0.36 0.54  0.64  0.96  1.00  0.86  1.00
#> [3,]   NA   NA   NA 0.10 0.62 0.36 0.98 0.80 0.50  0.70  1.00  0.30  0.72  0.36
#> [4,]   NA   NA   NA   NA 0.62 0.80 0.58 0.62 0.80  0.64  0.80  0.58  0.18  0.30
#> [5,]   NA   NA   NA   NA   NA 0.42 0.38 0.56 0.90  0.52  0.74  0.96  0.60  0.44
#> [6,]   NA   NA   NA   NA   NA   NA 0.48 0.82 0.76  0.76  0.88  0.92  0.60  0.28
#>      [,15] [,16] [,17] [,18] [,19] [,20] [,21] [,22] [,23] [,24] [,25] [,26]
#> [1,]  0.96  0.60  0.48  0.54  0.18  0.60  0.72  1.00  0.98  0.60  0.60  0.68
#> [2,]  0.60  0.26  0.58  0.86  0.96  0.64  0.40  0.72  0.66  0.54  0.82  0.44
#> [3,]  0.28  0.72  0.46  0.66  0.44  0.88  0.20  0.90  0.84  0.50  0.98  0.16
#> [4,]  0.46  0.56  0.64  0.54  0.08  0.72  0.78  0.52  0.86  0.82  0.62  0.62
#> [5,]  0.80  0.42  0.20  0.60  0.66  0.72  0.80  0.76  0.88  0.94  0.84  0.34
#> [6,]  0.22  0.32  0.58  0.52  0.42  0.80  0.16  0.82  0.74  0.66  0.28  0.14
#>      [,27] [,28] [,29] [,30] [,31] [,32] [,33] [,34] [,35] [,36] [,37] [,38]
#> [1,]  1.00  0.66  0.74  0.76  0.86  0.02  0.98  0.56  0.46  0.68  0.50  0.92
#> [2,]  0.80  0.18  0.36  0.74  0.20  0.88  0.70  0.48  0.18  0.46  0.36  0.66
#> [3,]  0.48  0.86  0.22  0.20  0.20  0.98  0.72  0.92  0.78  0.90  0.96  0.42
#> [4,]  0.16  0.22  0.92  0.22  0.68  0.14  0.98  0.58  0.16  0.88  0.42  0.82
#> [5,]  0.76  0.82  0.94  0.82  0.82  0.48  0.72  0.84  0.82  0.50  0.42  0.26
#> [6,]  0.26  0.60  0.18  0.56  0.00  0.28  0.42  0.78  0.22  0.12  0.10  0.28
#>      [,39] [,40] [,41] [,42] [,43] [,44] [,45] [,46] [,47] [,48] [,49] [,50]
#> [1,]  0.64  0.20  0.78  0.80  0.90  0.24  0.52  0.84  1.00  0.58  0.56  0.72
#> [2,]  0.72  0.06  0.78  1.00  0.64  0.22  0.66  0.74  0.50  0.50  0.74  0.90
#> [3,]  0.98  0.22  0.76  0.24  0.32  0.34  0.76  0.90  0.68  0.52  0.48  0.60
#> [4,]  0.00  0.50  0.00  0.88  0.42  0.64  0.14  0.38  0.28  0.60  0.58  0.38
#> [5,]  0.72  0.42  0.68  0.48  0.36  0.84  0.68  0.50  0.96  0.82  0.90  0.98
#> [6,]  0.32  0.10  0.24  0.66  0.04  0.22  0.20  0.46  0.32  0.86  0.42  0.52
library(bayesplot)
#> This is bayesplot version 1.11.1
#> - Online documentation and vignettes at mc-stan.org/bayesplot
#> - bayesplot theme set to bayesplot::theme_default()
#>    * Does _not_ affect other ggplot2 plots
#>    * See ?bayesplot_theme_set for details on theme setting
pp_check(output_HMDCM_RT_sep, type="total_latency")